Coco Crisp to the A's
Sunday, December 20th, 2009, 12:35 pm
ESPN says that Coco Crisp is on the verge of coming to the A's. Where does
that leave Oakland's outfield?
In my last post on the A's lineup / roster, I figured the A's outfield looked
like, from left to right, Taylor-Sweeney-Hairston. (Or flip Hairston and
Taylor if Taylor's a good defender.) Ken Arneson noted on Twitter that he'd
prefer to have Taylor play in Sacramento for a while, then have him push either
Rajai Davis or Scott Hairston out of the starting lineup. In retrospect, this
seems to better match Oakland's M.O., so let's assume that the outfield as of
now is Hairston-Davis-Sweeney, with the main reserve being either Travis Buck
or Aaron Cunningham.
With 12 pitchers and nine starting players along with a backup catcher, that
left three bench spots. One of those will be a backup infielder, ideally
Gregorio Petit, but perhaps Aaron Miles. One of those will be a backup
outfielder. That leaves the 25th spot up for grabs. Does Oakland, especially
with a defense-oriented outfield in Sweeney and Davis, have another potential
bat in Buck/Cunningham? Do they carry both Miles and Petit? Tommy Everidge? Dallas McPherson?
I don't think the addition of Coco Crisp changes that question so much as
magnifies it. Now, instead of a hitting fourth outfielder, the A's will have a
defense-and-running one in Crisp, since he isn't much of a hitter (.336/.378
last year). He's not a total black hole as long as you hit him low in the
order, and he's a legit (albeit weak-armed) outfielder, especially in left
(although he'll give you good work in center as well). He also steals bases at
a good clip, although he's never done it at the volume that Rajai Davis has
shown. In short, he's got a Rajai Davis bat with slightly sub-Rajai legs and
defense, and he'll be playing Rajai's rightful position: left bench.
This does presumably signal that the A's
really are going to be sending Michael Taylor to AAA to start the year. If you
figure Taylor's going to make the major league squad, then your fourth
outfielder (Davis) is already on the team.
But getting back to that 25th man, I have to assume the A's are planning on having a
(potential) bat make the roster as the 25th man. If your bench is Crisp, Petit, and
Miles, you've got three guys who can pinch-run for Daric Barton and Jake Fox,
but no one who can pinch-hit for anyone.
On the other hand, who are we pinch-hitting for? If that last spot is one of
the three aforementioned guys, are any of them better hitters than any starter?
I guess there's Cliff Pennington, but Pennington's still a guy who put up a
.342/.418 line in limited action last year, so it's not that clear-cut.
(Translated into wOBA, that's in the Erick Aybar / Elvis Andrus range among
shortstops, i.e. not great, but fine.)
Having addressed the question of what to do now that Crisp (who I'm going to be
typoing as "Crips" all year long) is on the roster, he other question about is
whether paying him $5M is better than paying Jack Cust a similar amount of
money (and likely a little less) in the first place. The simple answer is that
Crisp put up 1.2 WAR last year in just 49 games with the Royals, while Cust
managed just 1.0 in the full season. That's, of course, not all there is to
it. First, Cust is one of the few players the A's have had over the last few
years who's been able to play every single day. That has value in, if nothing
else, the cost of roster machinations -- when guys get hurt, you end up having
to add other people to the roster, which ends up sometimes meaning losing
players on waivers, and either way, major league pay rates are higher than
minor league ones. There's also the fact that Crisp is, hopefully by June,
going to be utterly redundant as Rajai Davis, Ryan Sweeney, or Scott Hairston
gets pushed to the bench to make room for Michael Taylor.
On the other hand, Crisp probably makes better injury protection for the
outfield than Jack Cust. If Davis, Sweeney or Hairston goes down and the A's
don't want to bring Taylor up yet, Crisp brings enough to the table to not kill
the A's in the absence of that starter. But if that's the rationale, then the
A's must really not believe in Travis Buck and Aaron Cunningham anymore, which
is a shame. Buck, after all, hit well in the majors in 2007 and in the minors
in 2008 while playing very good right-field defense (at least per UZR -- he's
pretty awkward out there to the eye). Cunningham, meanwhile, will still be
just 24 this year, and he's hit at every minor-league stop. His major-league
.271/.338 line has been compiled in a grand total of 144 plate appearances over
two seasons, so it's far too early to give up on him. Who knows what the story
with his defense is, but he's got 300 innings of corner outfield experience in
the majors that UZR pegs as perfectly average.
But look, let's not forget: in the end, this is a guy named Coco Crisp.
There has to be some value in that, right?
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